MRI outcomes in a placebo-controlled trial of natalizumab in relapsing MS
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Abstract
Background: In a 2-year, placebo-controlled trial (the Natalizumab Safety and Efficacy in Relapsing Remitting Multiple Sclerosis [AFFIRM] study), involving 942 patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS), natalizumab significantly reduced the relapse rate by 68% and progression of sustained disability by 42% vs placebo. We report the effect of natalizumab on MRI measures from the AFFIRM study.
Methods: The number and volume of gadolinium (Gd)-enhancing, new or enlarging T2-hyperintense, and new T1-hypointense lesions and brain parenchymal fraction were measured from annual scans obtained at baseline, 1 year, and 2 years.
Results: Compared with placebo, natalizumab produced a 92% decrease in Gd-enhancing lesions (means 2.4 vs 0.2; p < 0.001), an 83% decrease in new or enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions (means 11.0 vs 1.9; p < 0.001), and a 76% decrease in new T1-hypointense lesions (means 4.6 vs 1.1; p < 0.001) over 2 years. Median T2-hyperintense lesion volume increased by 8.8% in the placebo group and decreased by 9.4% in the natalizumab group (p < 0.001); median T1-hypointense lesion volume decreased by 1.5% in the placebo group and decreased by 23.5% in the natalizumab group (p < 0.001). Brain atrophy was greater in year 1 and less in year 2 in natalizumab-treated patients.
Conclusion: Natalizumab has a sustained effect in preventing the formation of new lesions in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis.
In multiple sclerosis (MS), focal inflammatory demyelinating lesions are thought to occur when activated T lymphocytes cross the blood-brain barrier (BBB).1 The adhesion molecule α4β1-integrin (VLA-4), which is expressed on all circulating white blood cells except neutrophils, plays a role in migration of mononuclear white blood cells across the BBB.2,3 Areas of BBB breakdown are visualized as foci of gadolinium (Gd) enhancement on T1-weighted MRI scans and occur in new lesions in relapse-onset MS.4–6 Pathologically, Gd-enhancing lesions exhibit perivascular inflammation with myelin breakdown.7,8
Natalizumab is a humanized monoclonal antibody that blocks the interaction of α4-integrin on mononuclear white blood cells with vascular cell adhesion molecule 1 (VCAM-1) on endothelial cells2 and prevents migration of white blood cells into the brain parenchyma in experimental allergic encephalomyelitis.2 In a 6-month, placebo-controlled trial, natalizumab reduced the number of new Gd-enhancing lesions by 90% in relapsing MS.9
A placebo-controlled, randomized, double-blind, phase III clinical trial (the AFFIRM study) investigated the efficacy and safety of natalizumab in patients with relapsing MS. Natalizumab significantly reduced the annualized relapse rate by 68% and sustained progression of disability by 42% over 2 years compared with placebo.10 Summary details of the counts of Gd-enhancing lesions and new or enlarging T2 lesions have been previously reported.10 We now present a comprehensive report of MRI lesion activity and volume outcomes from the AFFIRM study. Patients underwent annual brain MRI scans over 2 years, and both total lesion volumes and number of new lesions were assessed at each follow-up. Change in brain volume was also investigated.
METHODS
Details of the design and methodology of the AFFIRM study have been published.10 Briefly, 942 patients from 99 clinical centers in Europe, North America, Australia, and New Zealand were enrolled. Men and women 18 to 50 years of age were included in the study if they had a diagnosis of relapsing MS,11 an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score between 0.0 and 5.0,12 an MRI scan demonstrating lesions consistent with MS, and at least one medically documented relapse within the 12 months prior to randomization. Patients were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive natalizumab (Tysabri, Biogen Idec, Inc. and Elan Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) 300 mg or placebo by IV infusion every 4 weeks for up to 116 weeks. All study personnel, patients, and sponsor personnel involved in the study conduct were blinded to treatment assignments.
MRI protocol.
MRI scans were obtained at baseline, week 52 (year 1), and week 104 (year 2). A standard acquisition protocol was devised, defining allowable ranges for all scanning parameters. A site-specific implementation of this protocol (optimized to the capabilities of the particular MR scanner) was tested at each site, and the parameters thus determined were used for all subsequent scans at that site. The MR protocol consisted of i) proton density/T2-weighted fast/turbo spin echo (repetition time [TR] = 2,000 to 3,200 msec; echo time [TE] = 20 to 50 msec [short]/TE = 80 to 120 msec [long]); ii) precontrast T1-weighted spin echo (TR = 500 to 600 msec; TE = 10 to 20 msec); iii) IV injection of 0.1 mmoL/kg of a Gd-chelated MRI contrast agent; iv) T1-weighted spin echo repeated starting 5 minutes after the injection of contrast. The slice thickness was 3 mm and the matrix size was 256 × 256, with contiguous oblique-axial plane slices (parallel to the line joining the anterior and posterior commissures) being obtained through the entire brain. Repositioning of follow-up scans was achieved using a protocol based on the identification of predefined anatomic landmarks.13
MRI lesion analyses were performed at the Central MRI Analysis Center at the Institute of Neurology, University College London, by investigators who were blinded to the patient designation and the treatment code. Hard copy and electronic data of all scans were forwarded to the Central MRI Analysis Center. Scans were checked for compliance with study protocol for such parameters as slice thickness, slice orientation, number of slices, TR, TE, matrix, field of view, correct sequences acquired, Gd-enhanced scan quality, lack of artifacts, and adequate repositioning on follow-up. In the few instances where significant protocol deviations occurred, it was required that scans were repeated and resent within 4 weeks. Lesions were identified on hard copy scans by two clinicians (D.S., K.F.), who were trained and supervised by an experienced neuroradiologist (T.Y.). All visible T2-hyperintense lesions were identified on the proton density–weighted image after confirmation of their presence also on the more heavily T2-weighted image. T1-hypointense lesions were marked on both the unenhanced and postcontrast T1-weighted scans. Gd-enhancing lesions were marked on the postcontrast T1-weighted scans. The relevant year 1 precontrast scans were compared with baseline scans to detect new or enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions and new T1-hypointense lesions. Enlarging T2 lesions had to be larger on two contiguous slices or at least twice the diameter compared with their previous image.14 A similar analysis of new and enlarging lesions was made comparing year 2 with year 1 scans.
Lesion volumes were measured from electronic data following conversion at the Central MRI Analysis Center to a standard format (supervised by G.J.B.). All lesions previously identified on the hard copy images were outlined on the electronic images by raters using a semiautomated local thresholding contour technique (implemented within the DispImage package [UCL Hospitals NHS Trust]15) with manual editing as required. The volume of ring-enhancing lesions included everything within it if the ring was complete or just the area of Gd-enhancement if the ring was incomplete. Before analyzing trial scans, the raters underwent a training program during which they were required to establish, on a predefined set of training scans, a high level of reproducibility for outlining T2-hyperintense, T1-hypointense, and Gd-enhancing lesions. The required coefficients of variation of volume measures were 2 to 3% for T2 lesion volume and 3 to 5% for T1 lesion volume, and <5% for Gd-enhancing lesion volume. To enable stable performance over the study period, the raters were required to repeat the analysis of the training set and confirm the same level of reproducibility prior to analyzing the year 2 trial scans.
Brain parenchymal fraction (BPF) measurements were performed at the Cleveland Clinic Department of Biomedical Engineering by blinded investigators. The proton density/T2-weighted images were forwarded from the Central MRI Analysis Center in London to the Cleveland Clinic in electronic format and checked for completeness, compliance with study protocol, and image quality. Images were analyzed using fully automated software to segment the brain tissue and calculate BPF as previously described.16 BPF was calculated as the volume of brain parenchymal tissue divided by the total volume within a smoother outer surface of the brain. The scan-rescan variability of this technique was previously determined to be 0.2%. All segmentation results were verified by trained reviewers. In cases where the initial results were unsatisfactory, images were reanalyzed with automatically determined segmentation parameters, which were stored in a database along with the image header information and analysis results. All images from a given patient were analyzed with the same segmentation parameters at each time point unless there were significant changes in the scanner or acquisition parameters.
The following MRI lesion measures were prespecified endpoints of the study: i) the number of Gd-enhancing lesions at baseline, year 1, and year 2; ii) the number of new or enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions at year 1 and year 2; iii) the number of new T1-hypointense lesions at year 1 and year 2; iv) the total volume of Gd-enhancing, T2-hyperintense, and T1-hypointense lesions at baseline, year 1, and year 2; and v) BPF at baseline, year 1, and year 2.
Statistical analysis.
For the overall population, the number of Gd-enhancing lesions and the number of new and enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions were analyzed using ordinal logistic regression that included a term for treatment group and its respective baseline measure as a covariate (i.e., number of baseline Gd-enhancing lesions and number of baseline T2 lesions [fewer than nine vs nine or more]). The number of new T1-hypointense lesions was analyzed using ordinal logistic regression that included only a term for treatment group. Absolute change and percentage of change in Gd-enhancing, T2-hyperintense, and T1-hypointense lesion volumes were analyzed using Friedman's analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) and included a term for treatment group and for lesion volume at baseline. Percentages of changes in BPF were analyzed using a rank-based ANCOVA adjusted for baseline BPF.
All analyses followed the intention-to-treat principle. Missing values at baseline and 1 year were imputed using the mean values measured in the study population. Missing values at 2 years were imputed using last observation carried forward (LOCF), or if there was no value to carry forward, the mean of the observed population at 2 years was used. All reported p values are two tailed. Sensitivity analyses were also conducted for each MRI endpoint except BPF and consisted of the following: i) analyses that included only available MRI data (data were not imputed) and ii) excluded data of patients who received treatment with any rescue medication prior to MRI evaluation.
In addition, analyses were conducted in prespecified subgroups to evaluate the efficacy of natalizumab on MRI lesion outcome measures. Subgroup analyses were performed on the numbers of Gd-enhancing lesions, new or enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions, and new T1-hypointense lesions in the following subgroups: i) baseline age (younger than 40 or 40 years and older); ii) baseline EDSS score (≤3.5 or >3.5); iii) presence or absence of baseline Gd-enhancing lesions (0 or ≥1); iv) number of baseline T2-hyperintense lesions (fewer than nine or nine or more); v) gender; and vi) the number of relapses in the year prior to study entry (one, two, or three or more). Analyses were performed using logistic regression that included a term for treatment group and its respective baseline measure as a covariate (except for T1-hypointense lesions).
RESULTS
Patients.
A total of 942 patients were enrolled in the study; 627 patients were randomly assigned to receive natalizumab and 315 patients were randomly assigned to receive placebo. There were no significant differences in baseline demographics or clinical characteristics between the natalizumab and placebo groups (table 1; data on baseline age, gender, disease duration, EDSS, and the number of Gd-enhancing and T2-hyperintense lesions as reported previously10).
Table 1 Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics of patients
Overall population.
Scans analyzed.
Depending on the MRI measure, analyzable scans were not available for 4 to 5% patients at year 1 and 8 to 9% of patients at year 2 (tables 2 and 3). The main reason for missing data (>80%) was the scan not being performed because the patient withdrew from the study; in the remainder (<20%), although the patient was still in the study, the scan was either not performed, had not been received at the Central MRI Analysis Center, or had been received but was of inadequate quality for analysis.
Table 2 Number of Gd-enhancing, new or enlarging T2-hyperintense, and new T1-hypointense lesions detected during the trial (intent-to-treat population, N = 942)
Table 3 MRI lesion volumes (mm3) (intent-to-treat population, N = 942)
Number of lesions.
The number of Gd-enhancing lesions, new or enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions, and new T1-hypointense lesions over the 2 years of treatment are shown in table 2 (the data on Gd-enhancing and new or enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions is as previously reported10). The mean number of Gd-enhancing lesions was reduced by 92% in the natalizumab group vs placebo group at both year 1 (0.1 vs 1.3; p < 0.001) and year 2 (0.1 vs 1.2; p < 0.001). Ninety-seven percent of natalizumab patients had no Gd-enhancing lesions on the year 2 MRI scan vs 72% of placebo patients.
Compared with placebo, natalizumab reduced the mean number of new or enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions by 83% (11.0 vs 1.9; p < 0.001) over 2 years (table 2). Fifty-seven percent of patients in the natalizumab group developed no new or enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions over the 2-year treatment period compared with 15% of placebo patients. In addition, the mean number of new T2-hyperintense lesions (p < 0.001) was reduced by 82% and the mean number of enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions (p < 0.001) was reduced by 88% over the 2-year study period in the natalizumab arm (table 2). However, there was more than 10 times the number of new lesions compared with enlarging lesions in each study arm.
On unenhanced scans, the mean number of all new T1-hypointense lesions over 2 years was 1.1 in the natalizumab group and 4.6 in the placebo group, representing a 76% reduction in new T1-hypointense lesions with natalizumab (p < 0.001). The effect was observed over the first year and continued in the second year of treatment (74% and 83% reductions; p < 0.001). A higher percentage of natalizumab-treated patients (63%) had no new T1-hypointense lesions compared with placebo-treated patients (27%), and substantially fewer natalizumab-treated patients (11%) had three or more new T1-hypointense lesions compared with placebo-treated patients (44%). On Gd-enhanced scans, the mean number of nonenhancing new T1-hypointense lesions over 2 years was 1.0 in the natalizumab group and 3.8 in the placebo group, representing a 74% reduction in new nonenhancing T1-hypointense lesions with natalizumab (p < 0.001, table 2).
Sensitivity analyses of data on the number of lesions showed results that were consistent with the primary analyses (data not shown).
Lesion volumes.
Gd-enhancing, T2-hyperintense, and T1-hypointense lesion volumes are shown in table 3. Natalizumab reduced Gd-enhancing lesion volume compared with placebo at both year 1 (means 21 vs 207 mm3; p < 0.001) and year 2 (means 32 vs 192 mm3; p < 0.001), representing 90% and 83% reductions with natalizumab treatment at the 1- and 2-year time points. Compared with baseline, the mean Gd-enhancing lesion volumes were lower at both the year 1 and 2 time points in both the natalizumab- and placebo-treated arms; this decrease was greater at both year 1 (−343 mm3 vs −126 mm3; p < 0.001) and year 2 (−332 mm3 vs −141 mm3; p < 0.001) for the natalizumab-treated group.
Mean and median T2 lesion volumes are shown in figure 1. Over the first year of treatment, T2-hyperintense lesion volumes decreased in the natalizumab group and increased in the placebo group (p = 0.016). (Note also that in the placebo group in the first year, whereas the median T2 volume per se increases [figure 1 and table 3], the median difference in T2 volumes, year 1 minus baseline, decreases [table 3]; this is possible because there is no mathematical relationship between these two measures.) During the second year of treatment, T2-hyperintense lesion volume continued to increase in the placebo group and remained stable in the natalizumab group (p < 0.001). Overall, the mean T2 lesion volume was lower in natalizumab-treated patients (14,722 [95% CI: 13,238 to 16,206]) compared with placebo-treated patients (17,853 [95% CI: 15,414 to 20,292]) (p < 0.001) after 2 years. Over 2 years, natalizumab also reduced the mean change (−905 mm3 vs 2,891 mm3; p < 0.001) and median percentage change (−9.4% vs 8.8%; p < 0.001) in T2 lesion volume compared with placebo. Mean percentage of T2 volume changes (table 3) also show a marked difference between the treatment arms, although the actual mean percentage of changes is larger than median percentage of changes: the reason for this is that the mean percentage of changes are skewed by very large percentage increases in individual patients, especially among those who started with small lesion volumes.
Figure 1 Mean ± SE (top) and median (bottom) T2-hyperintense lesion volumes at baseline, year 1, and year 2
Mean and median T1-hypointense lesion volumes are shown in figure 2. T1-hypointense lesion volumes decreased over the first year in both treatment groups; however, the reduction in lesion volume was greater in the natalizumab group compared with the placebo group (p = 0.004). During year 2, T1-hypointense lesion volume increased in the placebo group and remained the same in the natalizumab group (p < 0.001). Natalizumab also reduced the mean change (−1,508 mm3 vs 548 mm3; p < 0.001) and median percentage of change (−23.5% vs −1.5%; p < 0.001) in T1-hypointense lesion volume compared with placebo over 2 years. Mean percentage of T1-hypointense volume changes (table 3) also show clear differences between treatment arms, although as for T2 volume measures, the actual mean percentage of change is much larger than the median percentage of change.
Figure 2 Mean ± SE (top) and median (bottom) T1-hypointense lesion volumes at baseline, year 1, and year 2
To assess the extent of change in T1-hypointense lesion volume relative to change in total (T2) lesion volume, the T1/T2 lesion volume ratio (LVR) was investigated. At baseline, the mean T1/T2 LVR was 0.343 (median 0.349; SD = 0.189; interquartile range 0.19 to 0.46) in the placebo arm and 0.328 (median 0.319; SD = 0.187; interquartile range 0.18 to 0.46) in the natalizumab arm. At 2-year follow up, the mean T1/T2 LVR was 0.311 (median 0.295; SD = 0.239; interquartile range 0.18 to 0.40) in the placebo arm and 0.270 (median 0.256; SD = 0.166; interquartile range 0.15 to 0.38) in the natalizumab arm (p = 0.002; comparison between the treated and placebo groups, Friedman's ANCOVA [ranked data], adjusted for baseline T1/T2 LVR). The changes in T1/T2 LVR from baseline to 2 years were i) placebo arm: mean −0.03, median −0.032, interquartile range −0.11 to 0.03; ii) natalizumab arm: mean −0.058, median −0.048, interquartile range −0.12 to 0.1 (comparison between placebo and natalizumab arms p = 0.002, Friedman's ANCOVA [ranked data], adjusted for baseline T1/T2 LVR). Thus, T1/T2 LVR decreased in both arms but more so in natalizumab-treated patients.
Sensitivity analyses of lesion volume data showed results that were consistent with the primary analyses (data not shown).
Brain parenchymal fraction.
Over 2 years of treatment, the mean percentage of reductions in BPF were similar between the natalizumab and placebo groups (0.80 and 0.82%; p = 0.822). During the first year of treatment, both groups exhibited a decrease in BPF; however, there was a greater reduction in the natalizumab group compared with the placebo group (0.56% vs 0.40%; p = 0.002). During the second year of treatment, a reduction (equivalent to that observed during the first year) was again observed in the placebo group (0.43%), whereas the reduction in the natalizumab group decreased to 0.24%; there was a difference between the natalizumab and placebo groups during the second year of treatment (p = 0.004).
Subgroup analysis.
The effects of natalizumab on MRI lesion measures in prespecified subgroups of patients based on prestudy/baseline characteristics are shown in table E-1 (available on the Neurology Web site at www.neurology.org).
Gd-enhancing lesions.
Placebo patients with more prestudy or baseline disease activity had more Gd-enhancing lesions on study; higher numbers of Gd-enhancing lesions were observed in placebo-treated patients with more prestudy relapses and one or more Gd-enhancing lesions at baseline. In addition, women, older patients, and those with baseline EDSS scores ≤3.5 or nine or more T2-hyperintense lesions also had higher numbers of Gd-enhancing lesions on study. Natalizumab significantly decreased the number of Gd-enhancing lesions compared with placebo, regardless of prestudy/baseline characteristics, with the exception of patients who had fewer than nine T2-hyperintense lesions, in which neither group had demonstrable Gd-enhancing lesion activity (table E-1).
T2-hyperintense lesions.
Similar to the results reported for the number of Gd-enhancing lesions, placebo-treated patients with greater prestudy/baseline disease activity had more new/enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions on study; patients with more prestudy relapses and one or more Gd-enhancing lesions at baseline had more on-study new/enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions. In addition, women and patients with baseline EDSS scores ≤3.5 or nine or more T2-hyperintense lesions also had higher numbers of new/enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions on study. There was no effect of age on the number of new/enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions. Natalizumab significantly decreased the number of new/enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions compared with placebo, regardless of prestudy/baseline characteristics (table E-1).
T1-hypointense lesions.
Placebo-treated patients with greater prestudy/baseline disease activity (more prestudy relapses and one or more Gd-enhancing lesion) had more on-study new T1-hypointense lesions. In addition, women and patients with baseline EDSS scores ≤3.5 or nine or more T2-hyperintense lesions also had higher numbers of new T1-hypointense lesions on study. There was no effect of age or gender on the number of new T1-hypointense lesions. Natalizumab significantly decreased the number of T1-hypointense lesions compared with placebo in all prespecified subgroups (table E-1).
DISCUSSION
MRI findings from the AFFIRM study confirm and extend those observed in the earlier 6-month proof-of-concept trial9; natalizumab was associated with a marked and sustained decrease in the number of Gd-enhancing lesions, which are indicative of BBB breakdown in MS. In addition, the accumulation of new lesions seen either as areas of T2 hyperintensity or T1 hypointensity (the latter representing about one-third of the former) was significantly reduced by natalizumab over 2 years of treatment. The 92% reduction in Gd-enhancing lesions emphasizes the profound effect of natalizumab in preventing new focal lesions that manifest BBB leakage and is consistent with its mechanism of action as an α4-integrin antagonist.
Several observations can be made that are relevant to planning and interpretation of MRI scans in phase III clinical trials of a similar size and duration. First, when annual scans are performed, the number of new T2-hyperintense lesions considerably exceeds (by 4–5 times) the number of Gd-enhancing lesions, and hence is a much more sensitive outcome measure. The T2 measure visualizes new T2-hyperintense lesions that may have appeared at any time during the year because the majority of such lesions become persistent areas of T2 hyperintensity. In contrast, Gd enhancement is a transient feature of new lesions that typically lasts for only a few weeks and therefore depicts only active lesions at the time of MRI.
Second, new T2-hyperintense lesions are much more common (>10 times) than enlarging lesions. Although this partly reflects the use of conservative criteria for enlargement that had been previously developed by an expert group,14 we considered that such an approach was necessary because it is difficult to be certain of enlargement during analysis of scans, as the appearance of lesions is susceptible to change with minor differences in repositioning. For future studies, it may be considered more efficient to report new T2 lesions only and not expend extra effort in detecting (uncertainly) a few enlarging lesions unless there is a hypothesis that therapy will have a discordant effect on new vs enlarging T2-hyperintense lesions; genuine biologic enlargement of lesions, even if not appreciated visually, should also be reflected in the measure of total lesion volume.
Third, the number of new T1-hypointense lesions is a feasible and sensitive measure for the evaluation of a treatment effect. As expected, T1-hypointense lesions are a feature of about 30% of new T2-hyperintense lesions. The total count of new T1-hypointense lesions on the precontrast scans included Gd-enhancing lesions that would have been potentially acute and reversible; therefore, additional analysis was performed on the postcontrast scans. This revealed that a large majority of the new T1-hypointense lesions were nonenhancing, hence more likely to reflect areas of persistent hypointensity that have been associated with a greater degree of tissue matrix damage including axonal loss when compared with isointense lesions.17 This subset of lesions was reduced in natalizumab-treated patients, indicating the potential of natalizumab to reduce the accumulation of axonal loss arising from new lesions in relapsing-remitting MS.
The Gd-enhancing lesion volume measures mirrored the number of lesions, and an equally clear-cut difference was observed between treatment groups. Although a clear difference in T2-hyperintense and T1-hypointense lesion volume evolution was also seen in favor of the natalizumab-treated group, the longitudinal pattern of change was nonlinear in both groups and warrants more detailed consideration.
During the first year, there was only a minimal increase in T2-hyperintense lesion volume in the placebo-treated group. This result indicates that resolution of preexisting lesions (i.e., present at baseline) almost matched the increase due to new lesions. During the second year, there was a clear increase in T2-hyperintense lesion volume in the placebo group, indicating that the accumulation of new lesions outweighed the resolution of preexisting lesions. Because the number of new T2-hyperintense lesions was similar in both years, the difference in volume likely reflects that there were more subacute inflammatory lesions at study entry that had potential to resolve than was the case later in the study. This idea is supported by the Gd-enhancing volumes in the placebo group being approximately 50% higher at baseline than at year 1 and year 2 and by the observation that relapse rate during the year prior to study entry was 1.3, whereas in the first year on study it had reduced to 0.7.10 Another possible mechanism for a larger increase in T2 volume in year 2 despite no increase in the number of new or enlarging T2 lesions is that there had been enlargement of areas of T2 abnormality that could not be detected visually, i.e., due to coalescence or expansion of preexisting lesions. Reliable visual detection of areas of enlarging T2 abnormality is difficult and conservative criteria were employed for their detection.14
The relative stability of T2-hyperintense lesion volume in placebo-treated patients in the first year of the study emphasizes the crucial importance of having a parallel control group to distinguish the effects of spontaneous regression in disease activity from genuine treatment effects. In the natalizumab-treated group, there was a clear reduction in T2-hyperintense lesion volume in year 1, with little change in year 2. This indicates that resolution of preexisting lesions outweighed the development of new lesions (which were very few for patients on treatment) in year 1, whereas in year 2, when there were few lesions either resolving or appearing, total volumes were predictably stable.
There was a small drop in T1-hypointense lesion volume in the placebo-treated group during year 1 and a somewhat larger increase during year 2. The mechanisms underlying this evolution are likely to be similar to those seen for T2 volumes, but the sharper initial drop in T1-hypointense lesion volume (and the decrease in T1/T2 LVR over 2 years) may reflect a relatively high proportion of subacute lesions at study entry that had resolution of edema or remyelination, both of which will favor evolution from T1 hypointensity to T1 isointensity.18 The large drop in T1-hypointense volume in the natalizumab-treated group during year 1 fits with partial resolution of preexisting lesions, in addition to there being very few new lesions; an additional factor may be that new lesions in natalizumab-treated patients are also less likely to evolve to regions of T1 hypointensity.19 Such mechanisms may also account for the greater decrease in T1/T2 LVR seen in the natalizumab arm. As expected, with few new lesions in the second year and a stable preexisting lesion load at year 1, the T1-hypointense lesion volumes were relatively stable in the natalizumab arm during year 2.
Natalizumab significantly reduced the number of new MRI lesions in all the subgroups studied except for those that had fewer than nine T2 lesions at study entry. However, the latter group was small, and neither its placebo nor active treatment group exhibited much clinical or MRI activity during the study. This finding suggests that patients with relapsing MS who have few MRI lesions are likely to experience a more quiescent disease course during clinical trials. There may be a case for requiring a minimum number of lesions as a criterion for entry into future studies of relapsing MS.
Higher levels of MRI activity in the placebo group during the trial were associated with higher levels of disease activity at baseline, most notably a higher relapse rate during the year prior to study entry and the presence of Gd-enhancing lesions at baseline. Similar observations were made in subgroups of the previous smaller phase II study.20 This observation suggests that subgroups selected for having more frequent recent relapses or Gd-enhancing lesions will be more sensitive when evaluating MRI lesion activity measures in treatment trials since they are likely to have more on-study activity. In a similar vein, a recent analysis of placebo data from multiple trials showed that prior relapse rate is correlated with the likelihood of Gd enhancement at a single time point.21
Whereas the BPF, a measure of brain tissue volume that is normalized to intracranial volume, was decreased more in natalizumab-treated patient during year 1, the rate of brain atrophy was significantly less in natalizumab-treated patients during year 2. A plausible explanation for an initial reduction in brain volume in natalizumab-treated patients is the profound decrease of inflammatory brain lesions with resolution of associated edema. An early reduction in brain volume has been associated with other treatments that have an anti-inflammatory effect: high-dose IV methylprednisolone22 and interferon beta.23 The smaller amount of brain atrophy in year 2 may reflect a longer-term benefit of natalizumab in preventing new lesion formation and the consequent axonal transaction (and resulting wallerian degeneration) that occurs in such lesions.24
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
The authors thank Nancy Bormann for assistance with preparation of the manuscript and Nisha Patel for assistance with statistical analysis. The MS MRI group at the Institute of Neurology is also supported by the MS Society of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.
APPENDIX
*Principal investigators.
MRI Central Reading Center, Institute of Neurology, University College London, London, UK: D. Miller*, T. Yousry, K. Miszkiel, G. Barker, D. MacManus, D. Soon, K. Fernando, C. Webb, K. Hunter, L. Hearsum, C. Middleditch, T. Pepple, C. Miller, Z. Stockbridge, J. Goldsmith, H. Proctor, P. Bartlett, A. Cannon, H. Murphy, A. Rajkumar, J. Lewis, A. John, T. Alfaro-Vidal, K. Wilder-Ahmed, V. Santana, T. Solano, S. Zalita. MRI Brain Atrophy Analysis Center, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH: E. Fisher*, R. Rudick.
In addition to the authors, the following investigators participated in the AFFIRM study.
Australia. Austin Health, Melbourne: R. Macdonell*, A. Hughes, I. Taylor, Y.C. Lee, H. Ma; Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne: J. King*, T. Kilpatrick, H. Butzkueven, M. Marriott; University of Sydney, Sydney: J. Pollard*, P. Spring, J. Spies, M. Barnett. Belgium. Algemeen Ziekenhuis St. Jan, Brugge: I. Dehaene*, L. Vanopdenbosch, M. D'Hooghe, M. Van Zandijcke, O. Derijck; C.H.U. de Charleroi, Charleroi: P. Seeldrayers*, J. Jacquy, T. Piette, C. De Cock; Limburgs Universitair Centrum, Diependeek: R. Medaer*, P. Soors, E. Vanroose, L. Vanderhoven; Nationaal MS Centrum, Melsbroek: M. D'Hooghe*, G. Nagels, B. Dubois, M.-C. Deville, R. D'Haene. Canada. CHVO Hospital de Hull, Gatineau, Quebec: F. Jacques*, D. Hallé, S. Gagnon, E. Likavcan; Dalhousie MS Research Unit, QEII, Halifax, Nova Scotia: T.J. Murray*, V. Bhan, R. MacKelvey, C.E. Maxner; SCO. Elisabeth Bruyere Health Center, Ottawa, Ontario: S. Christie*, R. Giaccone, D.A. Guzman; Health Services Centre, Winnipeg, Manitoba: M. Melanson*, F. Esfahani, A.J. Gomori, M.H. Nagaria; Hospital Charles Lemoyne, Greenfield Park, Quebec: F. Grand'Maison*, L. Berger, Z. Nasreddine, M. Duplessis; Kingston General Hospital, Kingston, Ontario: D. Brunet*, M. Melanson, A. Jackson, G. Pari; St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario: P. O'Connor*, T. Gray, M. Hohol, P. Marchetti; Sunnybrook and Women's College Health Sciences Center, Toronto, Ontario: L. Lee*, B. Murray, J. Sahlas, J. Perry; Vancouver Coastal Health Authority, UBC Hospital, Vancouver, British Columbia: V. Devonshire*, J. Hooge, S. Hashimoto, J. Oger, P. Smyth; University Campus London Health Sciences Center, London, Ontario: G. Rice*, M. Kremenchutzky. Czech Republic. Faculty Hospital Brno Bohunice, Brno: P. Stourac*, Z. Kadanka, Y. Benesova, I. Niedermayerova; Faculty Hospital Motol, Prague: E. Meluzinova*, P. Marusic, M, Bojar, K. Zarubova, E. Houzvicková, J. Piková; Faculty Hospital Hradec Kralove, Hradec Kralove: R. Talab*, G. Warberzinek, M. Valis, M. Talábová; Faculty Hospital Olomouc, Olomouc: B. Muchova*, K. Urbánek, Z. Kettnerova, J. Mares, P. Otruba; Faculty Hospital of Ostrava Poruba, Ostrava: O. Zapletalová*, P. Hradilek, D. Dolezil, I. Woznicova, R. Höfer; Faculty Hospital of Plzen, Plzen: Z. Ambler*, J. Fiedler, J. Sucha, V. Matousek; Faculty Hospital St. Anne, Brno: I. Rektor*, M. Dufek, R. Mikulik, J. Mastik, I. Tyrlikova; General Teaching Hospital, Prague: E. Havrdová*, D. Horakova, H. Kalistová, M. Táblová; Regional Hospital of Pardubice, Pardubice: E. Ehler*, A. Novotná, P. Geier. Denmark. Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen: P. Soelberg-Sorensen*, M. Ravnborg, B. Petersen, M. Blinkenberg. Finland: Helsingin yliopistollinen keskussaitaala, Helsinki: M. Färkkilä*, H. Harno, M. Kallela, O. Häppölä; Tampere University Hospital, Tampere: I. Elovaara*, H. Kuusisto, M. Ukkonen, J. Peltola, J. Palmio. France. Hôpital D'adultes de la Timone, Marseille: J. Pelletier*, L. Feuillet, L. Suchet, A. Dalecky, D. Tammam; Hôpital Pontchaillou, Rennes: G. Edan*, E. Le Page, M. Mérienne, J. Yaouanq; Hôpital Purpan, Toulouse: M. Clanet*, C. Mekies, C. Azais-Vuillemin, A. Senard, G. Lau; Hôpital Universitaires, Strasbourg: G. Steinmetz*, J. Warter*, V. Wolff, M. Fleury, C. Tranchant. Germany: Neurologische Klinik des Klinikums Offenbach, Offenbach: E. Stark*, U. Buckpesch-Heberer, K.-H. Henn, T. Skoberne; Neurologische Klinik der Ruhr-Universität Bochum am St. Josef-Hospital, Bochum: S. Schimrigk*, K. Hellwig, N. Brune; Universitatsklinikum Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg: C. Weiller*, J. Gbadamosi, J. Röther, C. Heesen, C. Buhmann. Greece. District General Hospital G. Gennimatas, Athens: C. Karageorgiou*, D. Korakaki, Dr. Giannoulis, S. Tsiara; Pammakaristos General Hospital, Athens: T. Thomaides*, I. Thomopoulos, H. Papageorgiou, F. Armakola. Hungary: Jahn Ferenc Hospital, Budapest: S. Komoly*, C. Rózsa*, J. Matolcsi, G. Szabó, B. Molnár, G. Lovas; Josa Andras Hospital, Nyiregyhaza: P. Dioszeghy*, P. Szulics, Z. Magyar, J. Incze, J. Farkas; Kenézy Gyula Hospital, Debrecen: B. Clemens*, J. Kánya, Zs. Valicskó, E. Bense, Zs. Nagy; National Institute of Psychiatry and Neurology, Budapest: G. Geréby*, J. Perényi, Zs. Simon, M. Szapper, L. Gedeon; Petz Aladár County Hospital, Györ: A. Csanyi*, G. Rum, S. Lipóth, A. Szegedi, L. Jávor, I. Nagy, I. Adám; Semmelweis University, Budapest: I. Szirmai*, M. Simó, C. Ertsey, I. Amrein, A. Kamondi; St. Imre Hospital, Budapest: P. Harcos*, E. Dobos, B. Szabó, V. Balas; Szent György Hospital, Székesfehérvár: A. Guseo*, E. Fodor, E. Jófejü, K. Eizler; University of Debrecen, Debrecen: L. Csiba*, T. Csépány, E. Pallagi, D. Bereczki; Uzsoki Hospital, Budapest: G. Jakab*, M. Juhász, B. Szabó, I. Mayer, G. Katona. Ireland. St. Vincent's University Hospital, Dublin: M. Hutchinson*, J. O'Dwyer, K. O'Rourke. The Netherlands. Amphia Ziekenhuis, Breda: E.A.C.M. Sanders*, J.F. Rijk-van Andel, M.A.M. Bomhof, P. van Erven; Erasmus MC, Academic Hospital Rotterdam, Rotterdam: R.Q. Hintzen*, I. Hoppenbrouwers, R.F. Neuteboom, D. Zemel, P.A. van Doorn, B.C. Jacobs; Jeroen Bosch Aiekenhuis, 's-Hertogenbosch: E.Th.L. Van Munster*, J.P. ter Bruggen, R. Bernsen; Stichting MS Centrum, Nijmegen: P.J.H. Jongen*, E.A.A. de Smet, H.F.H. Tacken; VUMC, De Boelelaan, Amsterdam: C. Polman*, J. Zwemmer, J. Nielsen, N. Kalkers, J. Kragt, B. Jasperse. New Zealand. Auckland Hospital, Auckland: E. Willoughby*, N.E. Anderson, A. Barber; Christchurch Hospital, Christchurch: T. Anderson*, P.J. Parkin, J. Fink, S. Avery, D. Mason. Poland. Katedra i Klinika Neurologii AM, SPCSK, Warsaw: H. Kwiecinski*, B. Zakrzewska-Pniewska, A. Kaminska, A. Podlecka, M. Nojszewska; II Klinika Neurologii, Instytut Psychiatrii I Neurologii, Warsaw: A. Czlonkowska*, J. Zaborski, W. Wicha, J. Kruszewska-Ozimowska, L. Darda-Ledzion; Katedra I Klinika Neurologii, Lodz: K. Selmaj*, A. Mochecka-Thoelke, J. Pentela-Nowicka, A. Walczak, M. Stasiolek; Katedra I Klinika Neurologii, Lublin: Z. Stelmasiak*, H. Bartosik- Psujek, K. Mitosek-Szewczyk, E. Belniak, U. Chyrchel; Katedra I Klinika Neurologii, Slaskiej AM, Katowice-Ligota: A. Wajgt*, M. Maciejowski, L. Strzyzewska- Lubos, L. Lubos, E. Matusik; Klinika Neurologii, 10 WSK, Bydgoszcz: Z. Maciejek*, A. Niezgodzinska-Maciejek, D. Sobczynska, T. Slotala, S. Wawrzyniak; Niezalezny Zespol Opieki Zdrowotnej-“Kendron,” Bialystok: J. Kochanowicz*, K. Kuczynski, R. Zimnoch, M. Pryszmont; Samodzielny Publiczny Szpital Kliniczny, Oddzial Kliniczny Neurologii, Bialystok: W. Drozdowski*, E. Baniukiewicz, A. Kulakowska, H. Borowik, M. Lewonowska; Szpital Uniwersytecki w Krakowie, Oddzial Kliniczny Neurologii, Kraków: A. Szczudlik*, T. Róg, E. Gryz-Kurek, J. Pankiewicz, J. Furgal, A. Kimkowicz; Wojewódzki Szpital Specjalistczny IM M. Kopernika, Gdansk: W. Fryze*, T. Wierbicki, L. Michalak, J. Kowalewska, J. Swiatkiewicz. Sweden. Karolinska University Hospital, Huddinge, Huddinge: J. Hillert*, E. Åkesson, S. Fredrikson, P. Diener; Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Solna Stockholm: T. Olsson*, E. Wallström, F. Piehl, L. Hopia, L. Brundin, M. Marta, M. Andersson; MS Centrum, Sahlgrenaks University Hospital, Mölndal: J. Lycke*, B. Runmarker, C. Malmeström, P. Vaghfeldt, B. Skoog. Switzerland. Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudios, Lausanne: M. Schluep*, J. Bogousslavskyr, R. Du Pasquier; Universitätsspital Basel, Neurologisch-Neurochirurgische Poliklinik, Basel: L. Kappos*, L. Achtnichts, J. Kuhle, C. Buitrago-Telez, R. Schläger, Y. Naegelin. Turkey. University of Istanbul, Istanbul: M. Eraksoy*, N. Bebek, G. Akman Demir, B. Topcuoglu, M. Kurtuncu; Istanbul University, Istanbul: A. Siva*, S. Saip, A. Altintas, A. Kiyat. United Kingdom. Guy's, Kings & St. Thomas School of Medicine, London: M. Sharief*, M. Kasti; Institute of Neurology, London: G. Giovannoni*, E.T. Lim, W. Rashid; King's College Hospital, London: E. Silber*, G. Saldanha; North Staffordshire Royal Infirmary, Stoke on Trent: C. Hawkins*, G. Mamutse, J. Woolmore; Oldchurch Hospital, Essex: C. Hawkes*, L. Findley, R. DaSilva, H. Gunasekara; Radcliffe Infirmary, Oxford: J. Palace*, Z. Cader, E. Littleton, G. Burke; Royal Hallamshire Hospital, Sheffield: B. Sharrack*, O. Suliman, S. Klaffke; Royal London Hospital, London: M. Swash*, H. Dhillon; Royal Victoria Infirmary, Newcastle: D. Bates*, M. Westwood, P. Nichol; St. George's Hospital, London: D. Barnes*, D. Wren, N. Stoy; University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff: N. Robertson*, T. Pickersgill, O. Pearson, C. Lawthom; Walton Centre for Neurology and Neurosurgery, Liverpool: C. Young*, R. Mills, B. Lecky. United States. Clinical and Magnetic Resonance Research Center, Albuquerque, NM: C. Ford*, J. Katzman, G. Rosenberg; East Bay Region Associates in Neurology, Berkeley, CA: J. Cooper*, B. Wrubel, B. Richardson; Landon Center on Aging, Kansas City, KS: S. Lynch*, L. Ridings, A. McVey, W. Nowack; Lehigh Valley Hospital, Allentown, PA: A. Rae-Grant*, G.A. Mackin, J.E. Castaldo, L.J. Spikol; Mayo Clinic Scottsdale, Scottsdale, AZ: J. Carter*, D. Wingerchuk, R. Caselli, D. Dodick; MeritCare Neuroscience Clinic, Fargo, ND: S. Scarberry*, R. Bailly, K. Garnaas, B. Haake; Michigan Institute for Neurological Disorders, Farmington Hills, MI: H. Rossman*, M. Belkin, W.D. Boudouris, R.P. Pierce; Oregon Health and Sciences University, Portland, OR: M. Mass*, V. Yadav, D. Bourdette, R.H. Whitham; Texas Neurology, PA, Dallas, TX: J.T. Phillips*, D. Heitzman, A. Martin, C.F. Greenfield; University of California Davis Medical Center, Sacramento, CA: M. Agius*, D.P. Richman, N. Vijayan, V.L. Wheelock; University of Chicago Medical Center, Chicago, IL: A. Reder*, B. Arnason, A. Noronha, R. Balabanov, A. Ray; University of Miami School of Medicine, Miami, FL: W. Sheremata*, S. Delgado, B. Shebert, J. Maldonado; University of Washington, Seattle, WA: J. Bowen*, G.A. Garden, B.J. Distad; Yale Center for MS Treatment and Research, New Haven, CT: M. Carrithers*, M. Rizzo, T. Vollmer, J. Preiningerova, J. Guarnaccia, A. Lo, G.B. Richardson.
Footnotes
-
↵Supplemental data at www.neurology.org
Received June 1, 2006. Accepted in final form December 19, 2006.
Disclosures: The AFFIRM study was sponsored by Biogen Idec and Elan Pharmaceuticals. Profs. Miller, Hutchinson, and Giovannoni report having received grants (>$10,000) from Biogen Idec for other research or activities not reported in this article as well as honoraria (<$10,000) from Biogen Idec during the course of this study. Prof. Polman reports having received grants (>$10,000) from Biogen Idec for other research or activities not reported in this article and honoraria (<$10,000) from Biogen Idec during the course of this study and has given expert testimony related to the subject of this article. Prof. Kappos reports having received grants (>$10,000) from Biogen Idec for other research or activities not reported in this article. Dr. Fisher reports having received research funding (>$10,000) for other research not reported in this article. Dr. O'Connor, Dr. Barker, and Prof. Havrdova report having received honoraria (<$10,000) from Biogen Idec during the course of this study. Dr. Phillips reports having received grant support (<$10,000) from Biogen Idec for other research/activities not reported in this article and honoraria from Biogen Idec (<$10,000) during the course of this study. Dr. Lublin reports having received honoraria (>$10,000) from Biogen Idec during the course of this study. Dr. Rudick reports having received research funding (>$10,000) for research not reported in this article and honoraria (<$10,000) from Biogen Idec during the course of this study. Ms. Lynn, Dr. Panzara, and Dr. Sandrock have equity interests (>$10,000) and are employees of Biogen Idec. Drs. Soon, Fernando, MacManus, Yousry, and Wajgt report no conflicts of interest.
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