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March 01, 2016; 86 (9) ArticleOpen Access

How common are ALS plateaus and reversals?

Richard S. Bedlack, Timothy Vaughan, Paul Wicks, Jamie Heywood, Ervin Sinani, Roger Selsov, Eric A. Macklin, David Schoenfeld, Merit Cudkowicz, Alex Sherman
First published December 9, 2015, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1212/WNL.0000000000002251
Richard S. Bedlack
From the Department of Neurology (R.S.B.), Duke University and Durham VA Medical Center, Durham, NC; PatientsLikeMe (T.V., P.W., J.H.), Cambridge, MA; Massachusetts General Hospital (E.S., R.S., E.A.M., D.S., M.C., A.S.), Boston; and Harvard Medical School (E.A.M.), Boston, MA.
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Timothy Vaughan
From the Department of Neurology (R.S.B.), Duke University and Durham VA Medical Center, Durham, NC; PatientsLikeMe (T.V., P.W., J.H.), Cambridge, MA; Massachusetts General Hospital (E.S., R.S., E.A.M., D.S., M.C., A.S.), Boston; and Harvard Medical School (E.A.M.), Boston, MA.
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Paul Wicks
From the Department of Neurology (R.S.B.), Duke University and Durham VA Medical Center, Durham, NC; PatientsLikeMe (T.V., P.W., J.H.), Cambridge, MA; Massachusetts General Hospital (E.S., R.S., E.A.M., D.S., M.C., A.S.), Boston; and Harvard Medical School (E.A.M.), Boston, MA.
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Jamie Heywood
From the Department of Neurology (R.S.B.), Duke University and Durham VA Medical Center, Durham, NC; PatientsLikeMe (T.V., P.W., J.H.), Cambridge, MA; Massachusetts General Hospital (E.S., R.S., E.A.M., D.S., M.C., A.S.), Boston; and Harvard Medical School (E.A.M.), Boston, MA.
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Ervin Sinani
From the Department of Neurology (R.S.B.), Duke University and Durham VA Medical Center, Durham, NC; PatientsLikeMe (T.V., P.W., J.H.), Cambridge, MA; Massachusetts General Hospital (E.S., R.S., E.A.M., D.S., M.C., A.S.), Boston; and Harvard Medical School (E.A.M.), Boston, MA.
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Roger Selsov
From the Department of Neurology (R.S.B.), Duke University and Durham VA Medical Center, Durham, NC; PatientsLikeMe (T.V., P.W., J.H.), Cambridge, MA; Massachusetts General Hospital (E.S., R.S., E.A.M., D.S., M.C., A.S.), Boston; and Harvard Medical School (E.A.M.), Boston, MA.
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Eric A. Macklin
From the Department of Neurology (R.S.B.), Duke University and Durham VA Medical Center, Durham, NC; PatientsLikeMe (T.V., P.W., J.H.), Cambridge, MA; Massachusetts General Hospital (E.S., R.S., E.A.M., D.S., M.C., A.S.), Boston; and Harvard Medical School (E.A.M.), Boston, MA.
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David Schoenfeld
From the Department of Neurology (R.S.B.), Duke University and Durham VA Medical Center, Durham, NC; PatientsLikeMe (T.V., P.W., J.H.), Cambridge, MA; Massachusetts General Hospital (E.S., R.S., E.A.M., D.S., M.C., A.S.), Boston; and Harvard Medical School (E.A.M.), Boston, MA.
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Merit Cudkowicz
From the Department of Neurology (R.S.B.), Duke University and Durham VA Medical Center, Durham, NC; PatientsLikeMe (T.V., P.W., J.H.), Cambridge, MA; Massachusetts General Hospital (E.S., R.S., E.A.M., D.S., M.C., A.S.), Boston; and Harvard Medical School (E.A.M.), Boston, MA.
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Alex Sherman
From the Department of Neurology (R.S.B.), Duke University and Durham VA Medical Center, Durham, NC; PatientsLikeMe (T.V., P.W., J.H.), Cambridge, MA; Massachusetts General Hospital (E.S., R.S., E.A.M., D.S., M.C., A.S.), Boston; and Harvard Medical School (E.A.M.), Boston, MA.
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Citation
How common are ALS plateaus and reversals?
Richard S. Bedlack, Timothy Vaughan, Paul Wicks, Jamie Heywood, Ervin Sinani, Roger Selsov, Eric A. Macklin, David Schoenfeld, Merit Cudkowicz, Alex Sherman
Neurology Mar 2016, 86 (9) 808-812; DOI: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000002251

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Abstract

Objective: To determine the frequency of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) plateaus and reversals in the Pooled Resource Open-Access ALS Clinical Trials (PRO-ACT) database.

Methods: We analyzed Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Functional Rating Scale (ALSFRS) and ALSFRS–revised (ALSFRS-R) data from PRO-ACT participants. The frequencies of participants experiencing plateaus (periods where scores did not change) were calculated over 6-, 12-, and 18-month epochs. The percentage of participants ever experiencing reversals (periods where scores improved) of different lengths were also calculated and plotted.

Results: Over 6 months, 25% of 3,132 participants did not decline. Over 12 months, 16% of 2,105 participants did not decline. Over 18 months, 7% of 1,218 participants did not decline. Small ALS reversals were also common, especially over shorter follow-up intervals; 14% of 1,343 participants had a 180-day interval where their ALSFRS-R slope was greater than zero. Fewer than 1% of participants ever experienced improvements of 4 or more ALSFRS-R points lasting at least 12 months.

Conclusion: ALS plateaus and small reversals are common, especially over brief intervals. In light of these data, stable disease, especially for a short period of time, should not be interpreted as an ALS treatment effect. Large sustained ALS reversals, on the other hand, are rare, potentially important, and warrant further study.

GLOSSARY

ALS=
amyotrophic lateral sclerosis;
ALSFRS=
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Functional Rating Score;
ALSFRS-R=
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Functional Rating Score–revised;
PRO-ACT=
Pooled Resource Open-Access ALS Clinical Trials

Footnotes

  • Go to Neurology.org for full disclosures. Funding information and disclosures deemed relevant by the authors, if any, are provided at the end of the article. The article processing charge was paid by a donation from the Larry Vance Hughes ALS Foundation.

  • Received May 28, 2015.
  • Accepted in final form September 3, 2015.
  • © 2015 American Academy of Neurology

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND), which permits downloading and sharing the work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be changed in any way or used commercially.

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