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August 16, 2022; 99 (7) Research Articles

Incident Herpes Zoster and Risk of Dementia

A Population-Based Danish Cohort Study

Sigrun Alba Johannesdottir Schmidt, Katalin Veres, View ORCID ProfileHenrik Toft Sørensen, Niels Obel, Victor W. Henderson
First published June 8, 2022, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1212/WNL.0000000000200709
Sigrun Alba Johannesdottir Schmidt
From the Departments of Clinical Epidemiology (S.A.J.S., K.V., H.T.S., V.W.H.) and Dermatology (S.A.J.S.), Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark; Clinical Excellence Research Center (H.T.S.), Stanford University, CA; Department of Infectious Diseases (N.O.), Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Denmark; and Departments of Epidemiology & Population Health (V.W.H.) and Neurology & Neurological Sciences (V.W.H.), Stanford University, CA.
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Katalin Veres
From the Departments of Clinical Epidemiology (S.A.J.S., K.V., H.T.S., V.W.H.) and Dermatology (S.A.J.S.), Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark; Clinical Excellence Research Center (H.T.S.), Stanford University, CA; Department of Infectious Diseases (N.O.), Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Denmark; and Departments of Epidemiology & Population Health (V.W.H.) and Neurology & Neurological Sciences (V.W.H.), Stanford University, CA.
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Henrik Toft Sørensen
From the Departments of Clinical Epidemiology (S.A.J.S., K.V., H.T.S., V.W.H.) and Dermatology (S.A.J.S.), Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark; Clinical Excellence Research Center (H.T.S.), Stanford University, CA; Department of Infectious Diseases (N.O.), Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Denmark; and Departments of Epidemiology & Population Health (V.W.H.) and Neurology & Neurological Sciences (V.W.H.), Stanford University, CA.
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  • ORCID record for Henrik Toft Sørensen
Niels Obel
From the Departments of Clinical Epidemiology (S.A.J.S., K.V., H.T.S., V.W.H.) and Dermatology (S.A.J.S.), Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark; Clinical Excellence Research Center (H.T.S.), Stanford University, CA; Department of Infectious Diseases (N.O.), Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Denmark; and Departments of Epidemiology & Population Health (V.W.H.) and Neurology & Neurological Sciences (V.W.H.), Stanford University, CA.
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Victor W. Henderson
From the Departments of Clinical Epidemiology (S.A.J.S., K.V., H.T.S., V.W.H.) and Dermatology (S.A.J.S.), Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark; Clinical Excellence Research Center (H.T.S.), Stanford University, CA; Department of Infectious Diseases (N.O.), Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Denmark; and Departments of Epidemiology & Population Health (V.W.H.) and Neurology & Neurological Sciences (V.W.H.), Stanford University, CA.
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Incident Herpes Zoster and Risk of Dementia
A Population-Based Danish Cohort Study
Sigrun Alba Johannesdottir Schmidt, Katalin Veres, Henrik Toft Sørensen, Niels Obel, Victor W. Henderson
Neurology Aug 2022, 99 (7) e660-e668; DOI: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000200709

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Abstract

Background and Objectives Herpes zoster (HZ) is caused by reactivation of the neurotrophic varicella-zoster virus (VZV). Zoster may contribute to development of dementia through neuroinflammation, cerebral vasculopathy, or direct neural damage, but epidemiologic evidence is limited. We used data from linked nationwide Danish registries to conduct a cohort study of the association between zoster and dementia during 1997–2017. As secondary aims, we examined whether associations were more pronounced for zoster involving cranial nerves (mainly ophthalmic zoster) or the CNS and Alzheimer disease as an outcome.

Methods We included people aged ≥40 years with zoster and a general population comparison cohort matched 5:1 by sex and birth year. We identified zoster and dementia in the registries using prescription records in the community and hospital diagnoses. We used Cox regression to compute confounder-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs for dementia associated with zoster during 0–1 year and 1–21 years of follow-up. We compared the cumulative incidence of dementia, inverse probability weighted for confounders.

Results The study included 247,305 people with zoster and 1,235,890 matched general population comparators (median age 64 years; 61% female). The HR of all-cause dementia was 0.98 (95% CI 0.92–1.04) during the first year and 0.93 (95% CI 0.90–0.95) thereafter in people with zoster vs matched comparators. Dementia was diagnosed in 9.7% of patients with zoster and 10.3% of matched comparators by the end of follow-up. We observed no increased long-term risk of dementia in subgroup analyses, except possibly in people with CNS infection (HR 1.94; 95% CI 0.78–4.80). Analyses of Alzheimer disease as a separate outcome showed similar results.

Discussion HZ is not associated with an increased risk of dementia, and contrary to expectation, we found a small decrease in the risk. The explanation for this finding is unclear, and systematic errors should be considered. Patients with CNS involvement had an almost 2-fold increased relative risk of dementia. The population attributable fraction of dementia due to this rare complication is estimated at 0.014%. Therefore, universal vaccination against VZV in the elderly is unlikely to reduce dementia risk.

Glossary

HR=
hazard ratio;
HZ=
herpes zoster;
IPW=
inverse probability weighted;
VZV=
varicella-zoster virus

Footnotes

  • Go to Neurology.org/N for full disclosures. Funding information and disclosures deemed relevant by the authors, if any, are provided at the end of the article.

  • Submitted and externally peer reviewed. The handling editors were Rawan Tarawneh, MD, and Brad Worrall, MD, MSc.

  • Infographic links.lww.com/WNL/C244

  • Received October 18, 2021.
  • Accepted in final form March 24, 2022.
  • © 2022 American Academy of Neurology
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